To everyone who selected this weekend’s biggest newcomer… here comes the heartbreak. I personally don’t believe that Karate Kid: Legends (17 players) will do as poorly as projected, but opening to $16M would be a crane kick to the face. We (myself included) can kiss a Perfect 10 goodbye. Even 3,800+ theaters won’t help against brutal reviews such as this one from New York Magazine/Vulture:
“I can’t imagine anyone remembering Karate Kid: Legends four decades from now. Or next week.”
Ouch.
Box Office Theory forecast for this weekend:
| # | 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | |
| 1 | Lilo & Stitch (2025) | 68.5 | -53% | 289.6 | 4,410 |
| 2 | Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning | 27.6 | -57% | 123.2 | 3,861 |
| 3 | Karate Kid: Legends | 16.0 | – | 16.0 | 3,809 |
| 4 | Final Destination: Bloodlines | 11.2 | -42% | 112.3 | 3,134 |
| 5 | Bring Her Back | 8.8 | – | 8.8 | 2,409 |
| 6 | |||||
| 7 | Thunderbolts* | 5.4 | -44% | 182.6 | 2,520 |
| 8 | Friendship | 2.4 | -48% | 12.3 | 1,293 |
| 9 | The Last Rodeo | 2.3 | -58% | 10.7 | 1,995 |
| 10 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Karate Kid: Legends | 57% | 45% | 86% |
| Bring Her Back | 89% | 96% | 76% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Karate Kid: Legends | A- |
| Bring Her Back | B+ |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.